PERIOD

Who is conducting our Monetary Policy? – Audio clip (German)
Michael Peters WDR 5 Interview, 06.05.2022

Due to high inflation, the US Federal Reserve has raised the key interest rate. This affects many areas of daily life. But the central banks are hardly structured democratically, says Michael Peters of the citizens’ movement Finanzwende e.V.

What the 2030 climate goals mean for fiscal policy – Study (German)
Maximilian Kellner et al., Ariadne-Projekt, 06.05.2022

Climate policy measures cost money, but are also associated with high revenues – for example through CO2 pricing in emissions trading. By 2030, these revenues from the national and Germany’s share of European emissions trading could total €178 billion, and even €302 billion if CO2 prices rise more strongly, new Ariadne calculations show. At the same time, the total need for public climate investment is estimated at up to €616 billion, especially if CO2 prices do not rise sufficiently.

Europe lacks a functioning infrastructure for the political participation of its citizens – Study
Dominik Hierlemann, Stefan Roch, 05.05.2022

A new study “Under Construction: Citizen Participation in the EU” shows that the EU has numerous instruments for citizen participation in place. However, the general public is not well aware of these mechanisms, and their impact is often quite limited. The individual instruments do not add up to a visible, comprehensive and effective participation infrastructure in Europe. Citizen participation in European decision-making processes consequently takes place via a patchwork of participatory instruments. The study recommends five ways of constructing a better participation infrastructure.

The failure that is not: Marine Le Pen in the 2022 presidential election – Blogpost (German)
Sylvie Strudel, Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung, 03.05.2022

For the second time, Marine Le Pen has failed in the decisive run-off election against Emmanuel Macron. With 41.5%, she lost to the old and new incumbent. But can one really speak of failure?

A populist game with fire – Article (German)
David Barkhausen, Makronom, 03.05.2022

In view of the high inflation rates, the pressure on monetary policy to take aggressive steps is growing. However, prosperity, the economy and consumers could suffer even more from this than from temporarily rising prices.

Central banks must embrace systemic reforms to avert the biodiversity crisis – Blogpost
Katie Kedward and Josh Ryan-Collins, IIPP Blog

Last month the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS), a group of over 100 central banks and financial supervisors, in collaboration with the independent research network INSPIRE, published a landmark report examining the links between biodiversity loss and economic and financial risks. The report argues that biodiversity loss poses systemic risks in the same way as climate change and calls for a concerted response by central banks and financial supervisors.

Because of high uncertainty, planning is essential to deliver rapid transformation. Market-based solutions run into three problems: First, the transmission mechanism from externality pricing to investment choices becomes precarious. Second, under high uncertainty, investors often prefer liquid, safe assets over risky, illiquid real ones, which may choke investment inflows. Third, lock-in effects due to path-dependencies weaken the price elasticity of firms. Altogether this implies that a systemic change would require extremely high carbon prices. Here, the question of political viability arises.

Read the whole article here.

Tuesday, 03. May 2022
18.00 – 19.30 PM

The Green Deal after the “Zeitenwende”
How can the social and environmental transformation of the EU economy towards a carbon-free and fairer circular economy be accelerated while responding to the crisis? Will the primacy of energy security eclipse emissions reduction? What reforms of the European financial and economic framework are needed to enable the EU to respond effectively to these new and urgent challenges?

Discussion with

  • Sven Giegold, State Secretary in the German Economics Ministry
  • Adam Tooze, Professor at Columbia University, New York und Director of the European Institute
  • Samantha Smith, Just Transition Centre, International Trade Union Congress (ITUC)

Livestream

Wednesday, 04. May 2022
14:00 – 15:30 PM

What roles for public and private capital in financing the transformation?
How to finance green investment is one of the key questions of the social-ecological transformation. The balance of public and private capital will determine the success and speed of the transition and its effect on society overall. Some argue that it is crucial to stimulate private investment, while others argue the government should be spending more directly.

Discussion with

  • Daniela Gabor, Professor of Economics and Macro-Finance at UWE Bristol
  • Kristina Jeromin, Sustainable Finance expert and Managing Director of the Green and Sustainable Finance Cluster Germany
  • Moderation: Michael Peters, Lead Financial Markets, Finanzwende Recherche

    Livestream

  • Macron’s Win Is Not Populism’s Defeat – Article
    Yanis Varoufakis, Project Syndicate, 25.04.2022

    French President Emmanuel Macron was re-elected because he succeeded in presenting himself as the epitome of the efficient, competent administrator. But the election also showed that more voters than ever want the system blown up, not better managed.

    Die Fiskalillusion: In wenigen Wochen wird die Ampel die Schuldenbremse fallen lassen – Article
    Martin Greive, Handelsblatt, 25.04.2022

    Federal Finance Minister Christian Lindner can only choose which death he wants to die in terms of fiscal policy. He is likely to cross one of the Liberals’ reddest lines.

    Der kleine grüne Staat – Article (Paywall)
    Daniela Gabor, Jacobin, 15.04.2022
    The climate crisis brings back the state. But instead of organising an ecological transformation, it is merely supposed to take on the investment risks of private capital.

    The Case for a New Bretton Woods – Book Review
    Kevin P. Gallagher, Richard Kozul-Wright, April 2022
    After the 2008–9 global financial crisis, reforms to promote stability, social inclusion, and sustainability were promised but not delivered. As a result, the global economic situation, marred by inequality, volatility, and climate breakdown, remains dysfunctional. Now, the economic fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic offers us a second chance.

    Although the agreement with the European fiscal rules is emphasised, they are anything but uncontroversial. Proposals include, for example, accrual accounting of interest expenditure and raising the regular borrowing limit of the debt brake from 0.35% of gross domestic product (GDP) to the medium-term targets of the European rules (0.5%-1%). In addition, a kind of capped Golden Rules is being brought into play, in that investments could be privileged over consumptive spending.

    The full report is available here.

    OUR MAIN TOPICS

    New Paradigm

    NEW PARADIGM

    After decades of overly naive market belief, we urgently need new answers to the great challenges of our time. More so, we need a whole new paradigm to guide us. We collect everything about the people and the community who are dealing with the question of a new paradigm and who analyze the historical and present impact of paradigms and narratives – whether in new contributions, performances, books and events.

    Redefining
    the role of
    the state

    REDEFINING
    THE ROLE OF
    THE STATE

    For decades, there was a consensus that reducing the role of the state and cutting public debt would generate wealth. This contributed to a chronic underinvestment in education and public infrastructure. New research focuses on establishing when and how governments need to intervene to better contribute to long-term prosperity and to stabilize rather than aggravate economic fluctuations.

    Remaking
    finance

    REMAKING
    FINANCE

    More than a decade after the financial crisis there still seems to be something seriously wrong with the financial system. Financial markets still tend to periodically misprice risk and contribute to boom and bust cycles. A better financial system needs to discourage short-termism and speculative activity, curtail systemic risk and distribute wealth more broadly.

    Greening
    prosperity

    GREENING
    PROSPERITY

    During the high point of market orthodoxy, economists argued that the most 'efficient' way to combat climate change was to simply let markets determine the price of carbon emissions. Today, there is a growing consensus that prices need to be regulated and that a carbon price on its own might not be enough.

    Reducing
    inequality

    REDUCING
    INEQUALITY

    The rising gap between rich and poor has become a threat to social cohesion in most rich countries. To reverse this trend it will be crucial to better understand the importance of different drivers of income and wealth inequality.

    Innovation Lab

    INNOVATION LAB

    Do we need a whole new understanding of economic growth? What would be a real alternative? How viable are alternatives to GDP when it comes to measuring prosperity? These and other more fundamental challenges are what this section is about.

    Globalization
    for all

    GLOBALIZATION
    FOR ALL

    After three decades of poorly managed integration, globalization is threatened by social discontent and the rise of populist forces. A new paradigm will need better ways not only to compensate the groups that have lost, but to distribute the gains more broadly from the start.

    Europe
    beyond markets

    EUROPE
    BEYOND MARKETS

    The euro was planned during a period in which economic policy making was driven by a deep belief in market liberalism and the near impossibility of systemic financial crises. This belief has been brought into question since the euro crisis, which showed that panics do happen. New thinking needs to focus on developing mechanisms to protect eurozone countries from such panics and to foster economic convergence between members.

    Corona Crisis

    CORONA CRISIS

    The current Corona crisis is probably the worst economic crisis of the post-World War 2 era. Economists are working hard on mitigating the economic effects caused by COVID-19 to prevent a second Great Depression, the break-up of the Eurozone and the end of globalisation. We collect the most important contributions.